EM2022 Contributed Sessions

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EM2022 Contributed Sessions

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Contributed Session A: ‘Beyond GDP’

Julian Winkler (University of Oxford and Institute of New Economic Thinking at the Oxford
Martin School) ‘Accounting for Variety’

Roger Fouquet and Gregor Singer (London School of Economics) ‘Net Domestic Consumer Surplus (NDCS) and its Environmental Impact, 1700-2017’

Richard Heys and Cliodhna Taylor (Office for National Statistics) ‘GDP and Welfare: Empirical Estimates of a Spectrum of Opportunity’


Contributed Session B: ‘Trade and Welfare Measurement’

Mustapha Douch (University of Edinburgh), Jun Du (Aston University) and Enrico Vanino
(University of Sheffield) ‘Defying Gravity? Policy Uncertainty, Trade Destruction and Diversion’

[Slides not available]

Luke Mosley, Kaveh Nobari and Alex Gibberd (Lancaster University) ‘High Dimensional Temporal Disaggregation and Nowcasting: Examination of Trade-In-Services Throughout the Brexit Transition Period’

Sebastiaan Maes (KU Leuven) and Raghav Malhotra (University of Warwick) ‘Individual Heterogeneity and the Distribution of Welfare’


Contributed Session C: ‘New Applications of Data Sources and Methods Used in National Accounts’

Baoline Chen and Kyle Hood (Bureau of Economic Analysis) ‘Nowcasting of Advance Estimates of Personal Consumption of Services in the U.S. National Accounts: Individual vs Forecasting Combination Approach’

Russell Black (Office for National Statistics and King’s College London), Josefa Lavandero Masson and Jakob Schneebacher (Office for National Statistics) ‘Estimates of Markups, Market Power and Dynamism from UK Firm-Level Survey Data’

[Slides not available]

Contributed Session D: ‘COVID-19 I’

Robynne Davies and Gueorguie Vassilev (Office for National Statistics) ‘The Furlough Scheme in the UK: Who was Affected and How?’

[Slides not available]

Peter Levell (Institute for Fiscal Studies), Lars Nesheim (University College London) and Alessia Testa (University of Portsmouth) ‘Sectoral Impacts of COVID-19: A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Pandemic’

Marcus Buckmann and Tomas Key (Bank of England), Arthur Turrell (Office for National
Statistics) and David Van Dijcke (University of Michigan) ‘Vacancy Posting, Firm Balance Sheets, and Pandemic Policy Interventions’

Contributed Session E: ‘Gaps and Trends in Macroeconomic Variables’

Pei Kuang (University of Birmingham) Kaushik Mitra and Li Tang (Middlesex University London) ‘Output Gap Estimation and Monetary Policy with Imperfect Knowledge’

[Slides not available]

Saeed Zaman (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland) ‘A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars’

N. Kundan Kishor and Nam Nguyen (University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee) ‘Measuring Credit Gap’

Contributed Session F: ‘Digitalisation’

Oleksii Romanko (King’s College London) ‘Digital Opportunity: How Cloud Computing Changes the Shape of the UK Economy’


Yanbing Bai, Yafeng Wu, Ying Hao, Xinyi Wu (Renmin University of China), Bolin Zhang (University of China) and Xuxin Mao (National Institute of Economic and Social Research) ‘Using Satellite Imagery and Deep Learning to Measure the Economic Development Level’

Karlis Kanders and Laurie Smith (Nesta) ‘Which Green Technologies are at a Tipping Point? A Data-Driven Horizon Scanning Approach’

Contributed Session G: ‘New and Old Products and Activities: Statistical Challenges’

Arash Hajikhani and Arho Suominen (VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland) ‘Beyond Legacy Economic Activity Classification: Novel Application of Website Scraped Content and Microsoft Academic Graph to Identify Firm’s Activity’

Jack Philips (Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport) ‘Valuing Culture and Heritage Capital’

Robert J. Hill, Norbert Pfeifer, Miriam Steurer (University of Graz) and Radoslaw Trojanek (Poznan University of Economics and Business, Poland) ‘Warning: Some Transaction Prices can be Detrimental to your House Price Index’

Contributed Session H: Gender Bias, Well-being and Inequality

Tho Pham (University of Reading) ‘Gender Bias in Online Job Ads: Uncovering Hidden Preferences’

[Slides not available]

Eléonore Richard (Paris School of Economics) ‘Who Feels Poor? Transitions into Poverty and Subjective Well-Being’

Contributed Session I: ‘Regional Inequality’

Tommaso Ciarli (UNU-MERIT), Mattia Di Ubaldo and Maria Savona (University of Sussex) ‘Where do Wages Benefit from Productivity Growth? Evidence from UK Firms and Labour Markets’

Alexandre Banquet, Paul Delbouve (OECD), Michiel N. Daams (University of Groningen) and Paolo Veneri (OECD) ‘Monitoring Land-Use in Cities Using Satellite Imagery and Deep Learning’

Marcos Diaz Ramirez, Paolo Veneri and Alexander Lembcke (OECD) ‘Where Did it Hit Harder? The Geography of Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic’

Contributed Session J: ‘Productivity, Labour and Wages’

Yanwan Ji (University of Warwick) ‘Artificial Intelligence, Human Capital and Productivity Growth’


Elodie Andrieu (King’s College London) and Malgorzata Kuczera (OECD and University of Cambridge)
‘The Impact of the Minimum Wage on Education and Tech Skill Requirements in Jobs: Evidence from Job Vacancy Data’


Nicholas Bloom (Stanford University), Takafumi Kawakubo (London School of Economics), Charlotte Meng (National Institute of Economic and Social Research), Paul Mizen (University of Nottingham), Rebecca Riley (King’s College London), Tatsuro Senga (Queen Mary University of London) and John Van Reenen (London School of Economics) ‘Do Well Managed Firms Make Better Forecasts?’

[Slides not available]

Jangho Yang (University of Waterloo), Torsten Heinrich (University of Bremen), Julian Winkler, Francois Lafond, Pantelis Koutroumpis (University of Oxford) and J. Doyne Farmer (Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School) ‘Measuring Productivity Dispersion: A Parametric Approach Using the Lévy Alpha-Stable Distribution’

Contributed Session K: ‘Through the COVID-19 Pandemic Statistical Challenge’

Ellis Best, Niamh McAuley, Craig McLaren and Andrew Walton (Office for National Statistics) ‘Recent Production Challenges in the Compilation of the UK National Accounts’

Omar Bamieh (University of Vienna) and Lennart Ziegler (University of Vienna) ‘Are Remote Work Options the New Standard? Evidence from Vacancy Postings During the COVID-19 Crisis’

Sophie Barrand, Ellis Daniel, Sumit Dey-Chowdhury and Andrew Walton (Office for National Statistics)
‘Meeting the Challenge of Economic Measurement During the COVID-19 Pandemic Through Extended Use of Administrative VAT Data and Implications for UK National Accounts’

Robynne Davies and Gueorguie Vassilev (Office for National Statistics) ‘Understanding the Impacts on UK Human Capital Stocks During the Pandemic Period’

Contributed Session L: ‘Capital, Investment and Growth Accounting’

Kevin Lee, Michael Mahony and Paul Mizen (University of Nottingham) ‘Investment and Capacity Utilisation in a Putty-Clay Framework’

Pierre-Alain Pionnier, Maria Belen Zinni and Kéa Baret (OECD) ‘A Sensitivity Analysis of Capital and MFP Measurement to Asset Depreciation Patterns and Initial Capital Stock Estimates’

Ilias Kostarakos (European Commission, JRC), Petros Varthalitis (Athens University of Economics and Business) and Kieran McQuinn (Economic and Social Research Institute) ‘Is Ireland the Most Intangible Intensive Economy in Europe? A Growth Accounting Perspective’

Oscar Lemmers (Statistics Netherlands) ‘Measuring the Economic Contribution of Firms and Activities in Terms of National Income’

Contributed Session M: Nowcasting and Forecasting

Tony Chernis (Bank of Canada and University of Strathclyde) ‘Combining Large Numbers of Density Predictions with Bayesian Predictive Synthesis’

Eiji Goto (University of Missouri-St. Louis), Jan P.A.M. Jacobs (University of Groningen) Tara Sinclair (George Washington University) and Simon van Norden (HEC Montréal) ‘Employment Reconciliation and Nowcasting’

Joshua C. C. Chan (Purdue University), Aubrey Poon (Örebro University) and Dan Zhu (Monash University)
‘Efficient Estimation of State-Space Mixed-Frequency VARs: A Precision-Based Approach’

Martin Weale (King’s College London) and James Mitchell (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland) ‘Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation’

Contributed Session N: COVID-19 II


Carlo Corradini, Jesse Matheson and Enrico Vanino (University of Sheffield) ‘How Important is Neighbourhood Labour Structure in the Spread of COVID-19? Within-city Evidence from England’

Moatazbellah Farid (University of Kent) ‘Land Tax Holiday and House Prices: Evidence from the UK’


Peter Levell (Institute for Fiscal Studies) and Lars Nesheim (University College London)
‘The Impact of 2020 Lockdowns on Consumer Welfare’

Contributed Session O: Income and Wealth Inequality


Pierre-Alain Pionnier and Johannes Schuffels (OECD) ‘Estimating Regional House Price Levels’


Alberto Vesperoni (King’s College London), Irem Bozbay (University of Surrey) and Roberto
Iacono (Norwegian University of Science and Technology) ‘Measuring Wealth: Income Capitalization with Heterogeneous Rates of Return’