Publications

Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US (ESCoE DP 2020-16)

By: Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell, Aubrey Poon

26 November 2020

Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US (ESCoE DP 2020-16)

Public Understanding of Economics and Economic Statistics (ESCoE OP-03)

By: Johnny Runge, Nathan Hudson-Sharp

25 November 2020

Public Understanding of Economics and Economic Statistics (ESCoE OP-03)

Evidence of Accelerating Mismeasurement of Growth and Inflation in the U.S. in the 21st Century (ESCoE DP 2020-15)

By: Leonard I. Nakamura

6 November 2020

Evidence of Accelerating Mismeasurement of Growth and Inflation in the U.S. in the 21st Century (ESCoE DP 2020-15)

Business Dynamism in the UK: New Findings Using a Novel Dataset (ESCoE DP 2020-14)

By: Silvia Lui, Russell Black, Josefa Lavandero-Mason, Mohammad Shafat

15 October 2020

Business Dynamism in the UK: New Findings Using a Novel Dataset (ESCoE DP 2020-14)

The CBI Suite of Business Surveys (ESCoE TR-08)

By: Kevin Lee, Paul Mizen, Michael J Mahony

25 August 2020

The CBI Suite of Business Surveys (ESCoE TR-08)

Immigration Stocks and Flows, APS and Electoral Register Data (ESCoE DP 2020-13)

By: Augustin de Coulon, Richmond Kingsley Egyei, Jonathan Wadsworth

24 July 2020

Immigration Stocks and Flows, APS and Electoral Register Data (ESCoE DP 2020-13)

Outlier detection methodologies for alternative data sources: International review of current practices (ESCoE TR-07)

By: Janine Boshoff, Xuxin Mao, Garry Young

24 July 2020

Outlier detection methodologies for alternative data sources: International review of current practices (ESCoE TR-07)

The Impact of GDP Data Revisions on Identifying and Predicting UK Recessions (ESCoE DP 2020-12)

By: Ana Galvão, Amit Kara

10 July 2020

The Impact of GDP Data Revisions on Identifying and Predicting UK Recessions (ESCoE DP 2020-12)

Telecoms Deflators: A Story of Volume and Revenue Weights (ESCoE DP 2020-11)

By: Mo Abdirahman, Diane Coyle, Richard Heys, Will Stewart

6 July 2020

Telecoms Deflators: A Story of Volume and Revenue Weights (ESCoE DP 2020-11)

Valuing Goods Online and Offline: the Impact of Covid-19 (ESCoE 2020-10)

By: Diane Coyle, David Nguyen

1 July 2020

Valuing Goods Online and Offline: the Impact of Covid-19 (ESCoE 2020-10)

UK Interregional Trade Estimation: Estimates of trade between Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales and England (ESCoE DP 2020-09)

By: Alastair Greig, Mairi Spowage, Graeme Roy

26 June 2020

UK Interregional Trade Estimation: Estimates of trade between Northern Ireland, Scotland, Wales and England (ESCoE DP 2020-09)

UK Regions in Global Value Chains (ESCoE DP 2020-08)

By: Pieter IJtsma, Bart Los

12 June 2020

UK Regions in Global Value Chains (ESCoE DP 2020-08)

Computationally Efficient Inference in Large Bayesian Mixed Frequency VARs (ESCoE DP 2020-07)

By: Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop, Aubrey Poon

20 May 2020

Computationally Efficient Inference in Large Bayesian Mixed Frequency VARs (ESCoE DP 2020-07)

Real-time Probabilistic Nowcasts of UK Quarterly GDP Growth Using a Mixed-Frequency Bottom-up Approach (ESCoE DP 2020-06)

By: Ana Galvão, Marta Lopresto

1 May 2020

Real-time Probabilistic Nowcasts of UK Quarterly GDP Growth Using a Mixed-Frequency Bottom-up Approach (ESCoE DP 2020-06)

Real-time Turning Point Indicators: Review of Current International Practices (ESCoE DP 2020-05)

By: Cyrille Lenoël, Garry Young

27 April 2020

Real-time Turning Point Indicators: Review of Current International Practices (ESCoE DP 2020-05)

Productivity Growth and Global Value Chain Participation in the Digital Age (ESCoE DP 2020-04)

By: Claudio Battiati, Cecilia Jona-Lasinio, Silvia Sopranzetti

20 April 2020

Productivity Growth and Global Value Chain Participation in the Digital Age (ESCoE DP 2020-04)

Estimates of Regional GDP in Great Britain in 1935 and 1938 (ESCoE TR-06)

By: Frank Geary, Tom Stark

17 March 2020

Estimates of Regional GDP in Great Britain in 1935 and 1938 (ESCoE TR-06)

An Industry-Based Estimation Approach for Measuring the Cloud Economy (ESCoE DP 2020-03)

By: Christopher Hooton

2 March 2020

An Industry-Based Estimation Approach for Measuring the Cloud Economy (ESCoE DP 2020-03)

Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence: Addressing the challenges of measuring the modern economy

By: ESCoE

12 February 2020

Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence: Addressing the challenges of measuring the modern economy

Valuing Economic Statistics: A Case Study (ESCoE OP-02)

By: Amit Kara, Jason Lennard

12 February 2020

Valuing Economic Statistics: A Case Study (ESCoE OP-02)

The Value of Economic Statistics: Baseline report (ESCoE TR-05)

By: Heather Rolfe, Johnny Runge, Sylaja Srinivasan

12 February 2020

The Value of Economic Statistics: Baseline report (ESCoE TR-05)

Measuring Education Services Using Lifetime Incomes (ESCoE DP 2020-02)

By: Carol Corrado, Mary O'Mahony, Lea Samek

29 January 2020

Measuring Education Services Using Lifetime Incomes (ESCoE DP 2020-02)

Measuring Productivity: Theory and British Practice (ESCoE DP 2020-01)

By: Nicholas Oulton

28 January 2020

Measuring Productivity: Theory and British Practice (ESCoE DP 2020-01)

Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP (ESCoE DP 2019-20)

By: Ana Galvão, James Mitchell, Johnny Runge

5 December 2019

Communicating Data Uncertainty: Experimental Evidence for U.K. GDP (ESCoE DP 2019-20)

Defining and Measuring the Innovativeness of Firms (ESCoE DP 2019-19)

By: Giuliana Battisti, Paul Stoneman

14 November 2019

Defining and Measuring the Innovativeness of Firms (ESCoE DP 2019-19)

Testing for the Presence of Measurement Error (ESCoE DP 2019-18)

By: Daniel Wilhelm

4 November 2019

Testing for the Presence of Measurement Error (ESCoE DP 2019-18)

Technology, Intangible Assets and the Decline of the Labor Share (ESCoE DP 2019-17)

By: Mary O'Mahony, Michela Vecchi, Francesco Venturini

25 October 2019

Technology, Intangible Assets and the Decline of the Labor Share (ESCoE DP 2019-17)

GDP and Welfare: A Spectrum of Opportunity (ESCoE DP 2019-16)

By: Richard Heys, Josh Martin, Walter Mkandawire

17 October 2019

GDP and Welfare: A Spectrum of Opportunity (ESCoE DP 2019-16)

That’s your bloody post-truth (ESCoE OP-01)

By: Ed Humpherson

27 September 2019

That’s your bloody post-truth (ESCoE OP-01)

No Plant, No Problem? Factoryless Manufacturing and Economic Measurement (ESCoE DP 2019-15)

By: Diane Coyle, David Nguyen

13 September 2019

No Plant, No Problem? Factoryless Manufacturing and Economic Measurement (ESCoE DP 2019-15)

Feinstein Fulfilled: Updated Estimates of UK GDP 1841-1920 (ESCoE TR-04)

By: Solomos Solomou, Ryland Thomas

16 August 2019

Feinstein Fulfilled: Updated Estimates of UK GDP 1841-1920 (ESCoE TR-04)

Improving the Measure of the Distribution of Personal Income (ESCoE DP 2019-14)

By: Dennis Fixler, Marina Gindelsky, David Johnson

14 August 2019

Improving the Measure of the Distribution of Personal Income (ESCoE DP 2019-14)

Misreported Trade (ESCoE DP 2019-13)

By: Mohammad Farhad, Michael Jetter, Abu Siddique, Andrew Williams

8 August 2019

Misreported Trade (ESCoE DP 2019-13)

Who are Business Owners and What Are They Doing? (ESCoE DP 2019-12)

By: Jonathan Cribb, Helen Miller, Thomas Pope

5 August 2019

Who are Business Owners and What Are They Doing? (ESCoE DP 2019-12)

The Welfare Implications of Public Goods: Lessons from 10 years of Atkinson in the UK (ESCoE DP 2019-11)

By: Fred Foxton, Joe Grice, Richard Heys, James Lewis

19 July 2019

The Welfare Implications of Public Goods: Lessons from 10 years of Atkinson in the UK (ESCoE DP 2019-11)

The Treatment of Intellectual Property in the National Accounts (ESCoE DP 2019-10)

By: Robin Lynch

14 June 2019

The Treatment of Intellectual Property in the National Accounts (ESCoE DP 2019-10)

Lost in Translation: What do Engel Curves Tell Us About the Cost of Living? (ESCoE DP 2019-09)

By: Ingvild Almås, Timothy K.M. Beatty, Thomas Crossley

30 May 2019

Lost in Translation: What do Engel Curves Tell Us About the Cost of Living? (ESCoE DP 2019-09)

Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth (ESCoE DP 2019-08)

By: Ana Galvão, James Mitchell

24 May 2019

Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England’s “Fan Charts” for Historical GDP Growth (ESCoE DP 2019-08)

A Century of High Frequency UK Macroeconomic Statistics: A Data Inventory (ESCoE TR-03)

By: Jagjit Chadha, Ana Rincon Aznar, Sylaja Srinivasan, Ryland Thomas

5 April 2019

A Century of High Frequency UK Macroeconomic Statistics: A Data Inventory (ESCoE TR-03)

Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage (ESCoE DP 2019-07)

By: Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop, Aubrey Poon

21 March 2019

Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage (ESCoE DP 2019-07)

GDP is a Measure of Output, Not Welfare. Or, HOS Meets the SNA (ESCoE DP 2019-06)

By: Nicholas Oulton

21 March 2019

GDP is a Measure of Output, Not Welfare. Or, HOS Meets the SNA (ESCoE DP 2019-06)

Firms' Price, Cost and Activity Expectations: Evidence from Micro Data (ESCoE DP 2019-05)

By: Lena Boneva, James Cloyne, Martin R. Weale, Tomasz Wieladek

21 March 2019

Firms' Price, Cost and Activity Expectations: Evidence from Micro Data (ESCoE DP 2019-05)

Understanding the Sharing Economy (ESCoE DP 2019-04)

By: Diane Coyle, Shane O'Connor

28 February 2019

Understanding the Sharing Economy (ESCoE DP 2019-04)

Measuring Bilateral Exports of Value Added: A Unified Framework (ESCoE DP 2019-03)

By: Bart Los, Marcel Timmer

30 January 2019

Measuring Bilateral Exports of Value Added: A Unified Framework (ESCoE DP 2019-03)

Labour Productivity and Firm-Level TFP with Technology-Specific Production Functions (ESCoE DP 2019-02)

By: Michele Battisti, Filippo Belloc, Massimo Del Gatto

29 January 2019

Labour Productivity and Firm-Level TFP with Technology-Specific Production Functions (ESCoE DP 2019-02)

Towards a Framework for Time Use, Welfare and Household-centric Economic Measurement (ESCoE DP 2019-01)

By: Diane Coyle, Leonard I. Nakamura

22 January 2019

Towards a Framework for Time Use, Welfare and Household-centric Economic Measurement (ESCoE DP 2019-01)

Cloud Computing and National Accounting (ESCoE DP 2018-19)

By: Diane Coyle, David Nguyen

19 December 2018

Cloud Computing and National Accounting (ESCoE DP 2018-19)

Temporal Disaggregation of Overlapping Noisy Quarterly Data Using State Space Models: Estimation of Monthly Business Sector Output from Value Added Tax Data in the UK (ESCoE DP 2018-18)

By: Paul Labonne, Martin R. Weale

19 December 2018

Temporal Disaggregation of Overlapping Noisy Quarterly Data Using State Space Models: Estimation of Monthly Business Sector Output from Value Added Tax Data in the UK (ESCoE DP 2018-18)

Double Deflation: Theory and Practice (ESCoE DP 2018-17)

By: Nicholas Oulton, Ana Rincon Aznar, Lea Samek, Sylaja Srinivasan

14 December 2018

Double Deflation: Theory and Practice (ESCoE DP 2018-17)

The Digital Economy, New Products and Consumer Welfare (ESCoE DP 2018-16)

By: W Erwin Diewert, Kevin Fox, Paul Schreyer

21 November 2018

The Digital Economy, New Products and Consumer Welfare (ESCoE DP 2018-16)

Can GDP Measurement be Further Improved? Data Revision and Reconciliation (ESCoE DP 2018-15)

By: Jan P.A.M Jacobs, Samad Sarferaz, Jan-Egbert Sturm, Simon van Norden

21 November 2018

Can GDP Measurement be Further Improved? Data Revision and Reconciliation (ESCoE DP 2018-15)

Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 (ESCoE DP 2018-14)

By: Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell, Aubrey Poon

20 November 2018

Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017 (ESCoE DP 2018-14)

An Open and Data-driven Taxonomy of Skills Extracted from Online Job Adverts (ESCoE DP 2018-13)

By: Jyldyz Djumalieva, Cath Sleeman

22 August 2018

An Open and Data-driven Taxonomy of Skills Extracted from Online Job Adverts (ESCoE DP 2018-13)

Constructing Estimates for Exports, Imports and the Value-Added from Exports of the Car Industry and Other Manufacturing Industries in the UK (ESCoE TR-02)

By: Giordano Mion

3 August 2018

Constructing Estimates for Exports, Imports and the Value-Added from Exports of the Car Industry and Other Manufacturing Industries in the UK (ESCoE TR-02)

Constructing Estimates for Exports and the Value-Added from Exports of Monetary Financial Institutions in the UK (ESCoE TR-01)

By: Jack Pilkington, Jeremy Rowe

3 August 2018

Constructing Estimates for Exports and the Value-Added from Exports of Monetary Financial Institutions in the UK (ESCoE TR-01)

Big Data & Macroeconomic Nowcasting: Methodological Review (ESCoE DP 2018-12)

By: George Kapetanios, Fotis Papailias

30 July 2018

Big Data & Macroeconomic Nowcasting: Methodological Review (ESCoE DP 2018-12)

Productivity Growth, Firm Turnover and New Varieties (ESCoE DP 2018-11)

By: Thomas von Brasch, Arvid Raknerud, Diana-Cristina Iancu

28 July 2018

Productivity Growth, Firm Turnover and New Varieties (ESCoE DP 2018-11)

A Firm-Level Perspective on Micro- and Macro-Level Uncertainty: An analysis of business expectations and uncertainty from the UK Management and Expectations Survey (ESCoE DP 2018-10)

By: Gaganan Awano, Nicholas Bloom, Ted Dolby, Paul Mizen, Rebecca Riley, Tatsuro Senga, John Van Reenen, Jenny Vyas, Philip Wales

13 July 2018

A Firm-Level Perspective on Micro- and Macro-Level Uncertainty: An analysis of business expectations and uncertainty from the UK Management and Expectations Survey (ESCoE DP 2018-10)

UK Trade in Goods and Productivity: New Findings (ESCoE DP 2018-09)

By: Philip Wales, Russell Black, Ted Dolby, Gaganan Awano

6 July 2018

UK Trade in Goods and Productivity: New Findings (ESCoE DP 2018-09)

Classifying Occupations Using Web-Based Job Advertisements: an Application to STEM and Creative Occupations (ESCoE DP 2018-08)

By: Antonio Lima, Hasan Bakhshi

2 July 2018

Classifying Occupations Using Web-Based Job Advertisements: an Application to STEM and Creative Occupations (ESCoE DP 2018-08)

UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model (ESCoE DP 2018-07)

By: Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell

12 June 2018

UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model (ESCoE DP 2018-07)

Below the Aggregate: A Sectoral Account of the UK Productivity Puzzle (ESCoE DP 2018-06)

By: Rebecca Riley, Ana Rincon Aznar, Lea Samek

15 May 2018

Below the Aggregate: A Sectoral Account of the UK Productivity Puzzle (ESCoE DP 2018-06)

Imputation of Pension Accruals and Investment Income in Survey Data (ESCoE DP 2018-05)

By: Andrew Aitken, Martin R. Weale

29 March 2018

Imputation of Pension Accruals and Investment Income in Survey Data (ESCoE DP 2018-05)

Classifying Occupations According to Their Skill Requirements in Job Advertisements (ESCoE DP 2018-04)

By: Jyldyz Djumalieva, Antonio Lima, Cath Sleeman

28 March 2018

Classifying Occupations According to Their Skill Requirements in Job Advertisements (ESCoE DP 2018-04)

A Data Map of Existing UK Data Sources Related to Regional Trade (ESCoE DP 2018-03)

By: Alastair Greig, Katerina Lisenkov, Graeme Roy

28 March 2018

A Data Map of Existing UK Data Sources Related to Regional Trade (ESCoE DP 2018-03)

A Democratic Measure of Household Income Growth: Theory and Application to the United Kingdom (ESCoE DP 2018-02)

By: Andrew Aitken, Martin R. Weale

26 February 2018

A Democratic Measure of Household Income Growth: Theory and Application to the United Kingdom (ESCoE DP 2018-02)

Reconciled Trade Flow Estimates Using an FGLS Estimator (ESCoE DP 2018-01)

By: Thomas Baranga

12 January 2018

Reconciled Trade Flow Estimates Using an FGLS Estimator (ESCoE DP 2018-01)

A Comparison of Approaches to Deflating Telecoms Services Output (ESCoE DP 2017-04)

By: Mo Abdirahman, Diane Coyle, Richard Heys, Will Stewart

22 December 2017

A Comparison of Approaches to Deflating Telecoms Services Output (ESCoE DP 2017-04)

Measuring the "Free" Digital Economy within the GDP and Productivity Accounts (ESCoE DP 2017-03)

By: Leonard I. Nakamura, Jon Samuels, Rachel Soloveichik

15 December 2017

Measuring the "Free" Digital Economy within the GDP and Productivity Accounts (ESCoE DP 2017-03)

The Mystery of TFP (ESCoE DP 2017-02)

By: Nicholas Oulton

5 October 2017

The Mystery of TFP (ESCoE DP 2017-02)

Do-It-Yourself Digital: The Production Boundary and the Productivity Puzzle (ESCoE DP 2017-01)

By: Diane Coyle

15 June 2017

Do-It-Yourself Digital: The Production Boundary and the Productivity Puzzle (ESCoE DP 2017-01)

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